30 April 2026

Bitcoin eyes gains as macro data makes US recession 2025 ‘base case’

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Bitcoin market commentators focus on potential benefits of a recession scare for BTC price strength as macro data piles pressure on the Federal Reserve to act.

Key points:

Bitcoin traders wait for signals of US economic policy loosening as data forces the Federal Reserve into a corner.

Recession is more likely than not, sources say, amid rising unemployment and resurgent inflation.

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