23 April 2026

As Bitcoin and Ethereum continue rally, capitulation severity has lessened

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Capitulation has marked bottoms in previous cycle

Definition

Net Unrealized Profit/Loss is the difference between Relative Unrealized Profit and Relative Unrealized Loss. This metric can also be calculated by subtracting realized cap from the market cap and dividing the result by the market cap.

Quick Take

  • Bear market bottoms occur when capitulation occurs, even when the strongest hands sell due to fear in the market.
  • In 2022, multiple events, such as the Ukraine invasion, Luna, and FTX collapse, saw multiple capitulations.
  • However, when BTC broke $20,000, the sentiment turned away from capitulation.
  • As you can see, each bear market bottom has made a higher low, which shows the capitulation amongst holders becomes less severe and can also be related to ATH drawdowns as they get less severe.

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